Hey…It Could Happen

Here are my following predictions for Nov. 3rd:

Governor: Bob McDonnell (+7)
Lt. Governor: Bill Bolling (+5)
Attorney General: Ken Cuccinelli (+8)

House of Delegates:

1: Terry Kilgore (Unopposed)
2: Bud Phillips (Unopposed)
3: Will Morefield
4:  Joe Johnson (Unopposed)
5: Bill Carrico (Unopposed)
6: Anne B. Crockett-Stark
7: Dave Nutter
8: Morgan Griffith
9: Charles Poindexter
10: Ward Armstrong
11: Onzlee Ware
12: Jim Shuler
13: Bob Marshall
14: Danny Marshall
15: Todd Gilbert
16: Donald Merricks (Unopposed)
17: Bill Cleaveland
18: Clay Athey
19: Lacey Putney
20: Dickie Bell
21: Ron Villanueva
22: Kathy J. Byron (Unopposed)
23: Scott Garrett
24: Ben Cline
25: Steve Landes
26: Matt Lohr
27: Sam Nixon (Unopposed)
28: Bill Howell
29: Bev Sherwood
30: Ed Scott
31: Scott Lingamfelter (Unopposed)
32: Tag Greason
33: Joe May (Unopposed)
34: Barbara Comstock
35: Jim Hyland
36: Ken Plum
37: Dave Bulova
38: Danny Smith
39: Vivian Watts
40: Tim Hugo
41: Dave Marsden
42: Dave Albo
43: Mark Sickles
44: Scott Surovel
45: Dave Englin
46: Charniele Herring
47: Eric Brescia
48: Aaron Ringel
49: Adam Ebbin (Unopposed)
50: Jackson Miller
51: Rich Anderson
52: Rafael Lopez
53: Jim Scott
54: Bobby Orrock (Unopposed)
55: John Cox
56: Bill Janis
57: Dave Toscano
58: Rob Bell
59: Wat Abbitt (Unopposed)
60: James Edmunds (Unopposed)
61: Tom Wright (Unopposed)
62: Riley Ingram (Unopposed)
63: Rosalyn Dance (Unopposed)
64: Bill Barlow
65: R. Lee Ware
66: Kirk Cox (Unopposed)
67: Jim LeMunyon
68: Manoli Loupassi
69: Ernesto Sampson
70: Delores McQuinn
71:  Jennifer McClellan
72: Jimmie Massie (Unopposed)
73: John O’Bannon
74: Joe Morrissey
75: Roslyn Tyler (Unopposed)
76: Chris Jones (Unopposed)
77: Lionel Spruill
78: John Cosgrove (Unopposed)
79: Johnny Joannou
80: Matthew James
81: Barry Knight (Unopposed)
82: Bob Purkey
83: Chris Stolle
84: Sal Iaquinto (Unopposed)
85: Bob Tata
86: Tom Rust
87: Paula Miller
88: Mark Cole (Unopposed)
89: Ken Alexander
90: Algie Howell
91: Tom Gear
92: Jeion Ward (Unopposed)
93: Robin Abbott
94: Glenn Oder
95: Mamye BaCote (Unopposed)
96: Brenda Pogge (Unopposed)
97: Chris Peace (Unopposed)
98: Harvey Morgan (Unopposed)
99: Al Pollard
100: Lynwood Lewis

In addition to all three statewide seats, that would give the GOP 66 seats (including Abbitt and Putney who caucus with the Republicans) to the Democrat’s 34 seats.  Maybe a little rose-colored but hey…it could happen.

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October 27  |  
Uncategorized0

Next Tuesday’s Forecast: Red With A Chance of Possible Landslides

Ladies and gents, we’ve got two new polls out this morning that show all statewide GOPs in double-digit leads over their consistently left-wing, double-speaking, lackluster Democrat opponents:

SurveyUSA Poll
Bob McDonnell +17 (58 to 41)
Bill Bolling +14 (56 to 42)
Ken Cuccinelli +16 (57 to 41)

Public Policy Polling
Bob McDonnell +15 (55 to 40)
Bill Bolling +12 (50 to 38)
Ken Cuccinelli +16 (52 to 36)

As a local McDonnell radio ad said, “Deeds has no plan.” I’d like to add “Deeds has no chance.”

October 27  |  
State Politics0

I’d Start Drinkin’ If I Was You…

Is this what November 4th will look like for the Dems?

October 25  |  
Miscellaneous, Videos0

A Future Virginia GOP

With a Republican sweep of the all three statewide offices and the House of Delegates looking extremely likely on Election Day, Virginia Republicans must start looking to the future and how to sustain the progress made this year and take back the Virginia Senate in 2011.

The two main issues over the next term will undoubtedly be jump starting the economy and fixing transportation:

With McDonnell in the Governor’s mansion, the emphasis will (obviously and as his campaign has repeatedly stated) be on limiting rates of business and individual taxation in order to stimulate the economy, get people spending again, and creating new industry and jobs in the Commonwealth.  While most confidence needs to be regained at the national level, I think that McDonnell (being a businessman, among many other things) can instill the confidence in business to bring many a company to Virginia over the next four years…at least, much moreso than Deeds could.  This recession won’t last forever and as long as McDonnell keeps Virginia on the leading edge of industry, cuts the budget, doesn’t drive us deeper into debt like the two previous Democratic Governor’s have, then voter will most definitely have more confidence to vote R in 2011 and on.

The other key to Republican victory is fixing transportation.  Since Kaine gutted HB3202 way back when and then SCOVA ruled it partly unconstitutional, no one has delved to create a driving coalition that fixes the state’s transportation needs.  I don’t see a re-hash of 3202 coming around any time soon, since that would merely create more government to get in the way and only add to the problem.  The solution is obviously going to be a stable, equal basis of revenue with proportional allotments and perhaps locally based revenue sources (like ports and airports) going to fund the excess and much-needed projects in Northern Virginia and the Hampton Roads area.  But the key won’t really be in what we do to fix it, but how we do it.

The main thing, at least for a continued Republican victory, will be in the strategy they encompass to solve the problem.  McDonnell has experience with bipartisan support (again…much more so than Deeds has) and will be able to potentially garner a few votes for a plan to pass in the Senate. Bolling could help the Republicans out there as well if a tie vote should happen.  However, mere compromise won’t regain a GOP Senate majority. The House GOP and Governor McDonnell will need to propose a plan to solve transportation right off the bat that is very Republican-principled in nature…in other words, one that will be tough for a D to sign their name to and then go back home after the legislative session.  After that, either Democrats will get on board for fear of voter backlash in 2011 or not sign on and, quite frankly, be doomed in their next race.

With that said, hopes are high that:
1) government will spend far, far less
2) transportation will become a top priority
3) redistricting will sway some seats towards the R persuasion
and 4) the Virginia GOP will grab a few more seats the next go ’round.

October 25  |  
State Politics0

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